The amount of electricity generated in the first 20 days of March this year is equivalent to the amount of electricity generated in March last year. According to data released by State Grid, the national power generation increased by about 1% year-on-year in early March, indicating that power generation is showing signs of recovery.
Along with the above data changes, some regions and industry economies have shown signs of stabilization and recovery. The overall warming trend has been recognized by more and more professionals.
As a leading indicator of GDP data changes, power generation is considered to be the weather vane for future economic growth. The trend of power generation has also become the focus of attention within and outside the industry.
In addition to electricity generation data, the previously released February economic data also allowed people to relax their nervous nerves. Not only has the decline in imports narrowed, but the added value of industrial production and the electricity consumption of enterprises have both increased, and fixed asset investment has exceeded expectations. The Purchasing Managers Index also climbed to the Bulls and Bears cut point after climbing for two consecutive months. Bank credit has been blown out for two consecutive months.
In addition, the process of including incremental rebuilding has begun. The production sector is also spurred by large-scale investment, especially for many companies targeting the domestic market, where profit margins are increased due to lower raw materials and production costs.
A more profound background is that the country will promote reforms in resource prices, fiscal and taxation systems and monopoly industries this year, continue to support the development of the non-public economy, and encourage private capital to enter the fields of infrastructure and financial services. On the basis of absorbing the lessons learned from financial innovation in developed countries, we will continue to promote financial reform and financial innovation, actively guide the healthy development of private financing, and maintain the stability of the capital market. This series of important reform measures will lay a solid institutional foundation for China to crack the problem of maintaining growth and welcoming a new round of rapid economic development.
The stock market, which is the "barometer" of the national economy, should reflect the subtle changes in China's economic fundamentals. At the lowest point of the Shanghai Composite Index at the beginning of November last year, some pessimists predicted that they would continue to fall below 1500 points and even go straight to 1300 points. But now it seems that the pessimistic expectations of the low point in early November last year may be too pessimistic. .
In the past 10 days, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets have become stronger and can be seen as a normal reflection of the fundamentals of the economy. Of course, there is still a process for the economy to improve completely. After all, the most effective thing to pull the economy today is to increase government investment. However, if there is no market drive, the expansion of corporate and personal investment, the short-term economic recovery will fluctuate again as the government's investment is weakening year by year.
In addition, the business operations that reflect the foundation of the national economy are still not optimistic. This includes exports falling by 21.1% year-on-year in the first two months, and the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size is only 3.8%.
On the whole, China's economy may still be in a difficult state in the first quarter, but at the same time, important achievements in macroeconomic regulation and control are also emerging. “Confidence is more precious than gold and money.†As a series of economic stimulus measures are implemented, people’s confidence will increase. Confidence is enhanced, and it is counterproductive to market consumption. What we can expect is that the Chinese economy has the conditions to take the lead in the global economy and maintain steady and rapid growth in the medium and long term.
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