The June manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) released by many countries shows that the global manufacturing sector is tending to slow down, and manufacturing PMIs in some countries are below 50 watersheds. In June, the Asian economy continued to slow down, and the pace of China's manufacturing activity slowed for the third consecutive month, accompanied by a easing of inflationary pressures, indicating that anti-inflation measures have begun to work.
The South Korean Purchasing Managers Index, which was released on July 1, also fell, while the PMI in Taiwan has fallen sharply. Local manufacturing activity has shrunk for the first time since October last year. At the same time, the quarterly survey conducted by the Bank of Japan showed that the business situation of Japanese companies deteriorated sharply in the second quarter, and the relevant index showed the biggest decline since the beginning of 2009, reflecting the impact of the March 11 earthquake on the Japanese economy. Document.write(" ");xno = xno+1;
In addition, the Bank of Japan Tankan survey showed that the Japanese business climate judgment index fell to -9 in the second quarter, and +6 in the first quarter. Economists had expected the number in the quarter to be -7.
However, large Japanese manufacturers, led by the automotive industry, expect significant improvements in the third quarter. Large companies plan to increase capital expenditure by 4.2% in fiscal year 2012, which will end in March next year, compared with a 0.4% reduction in the previous survey.
The above data shows that many countries in Asia are facing an economic warfare and inflation.
But economists said that given the Chinese economic data released a few days ago, the market's concerns about the Chinese economy's sharp correction and impact on the global economy should be able to temporarily ease.
In Europe, the situation is not optimistic when the debt crisis is raging. According to data released by Markit/Cips, the UK's Markit/Cips manufacturing purchasing managers' index for June was 51.3, the lowest since September 2009, less than expected 52.1, and the previous value was 52.1.
Germany's manufacturing PMI final value was 54.6 in June, with initial and May figures of 54.9 and 57.7, respectively. The data shows that the German manufacturing expansion rate is the lowest in 17 months, although the PMI is still above the 50% of the boom.
Italy's June manufacturing PMI has fallen to 49.9, a fact that will not help boost the euro's long-term morale, which is the first time in 20 months that the Italian manufacturing industry fell below 50.
The US June ISM manufacturing index is one of the focus of the market in the past two weeks. According to data released by the American Institute of Supply Management on July 1, the US manufacturing industry expanded strongly in June, and the price pressure in the month eased.
The US Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index rose to 55.3 in May from 53.5 in May. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires expect the manufacturing PMI to fall to 51.8 in June.
Not only that, but the strong performance of the US manufacturing sub-indices is also surprising. The new orders index for the month rose to 51.6 from 51.0 in May; the production index rose slightly from 54.0 to 54.5. The employment index for the month rose from 58.2 to 59.9. The monthly inventory index rose to 54.1 from 48.7 in May. The price index for the month fell to 68.0 from 76.5 in May.
While concerns about the overall economic slowdown have had an impact on the market in recent weeks, there are many signs that US manufacturing appears to be growing healthily. The Chicago PMI, released on June 30, also unexpectedly rose to 61.1, much higher than economists expected.
However, the weak job market remains a major concern for the United States. The number of US initial jobless claims last week is still above the threshold of 400,000 people, and it is impossible to prove that future employment can achieve sustainable growth.
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