Domestic PV companies need to be cautiously optimistic about the New Deal

On August 3rd, China and Europe signed a "price agreement" for photovoltaic products. Since August 6, most Chinese PV companies do not have to pay an anti-dumping tax of up to 47.6%, which is a condition for Chinese PV companies to retain certain foreign countries conditionally. The market share also awakens the development and investment of Chinese PV companies in the domestic market. At the same time, the state has intensively introduced a number of encouraging policies.

"Before 2020, the average annual installed capacity of 10-15 GW is no problem. The capacity of the market last year was 100 billion to 150 billion yuan. Once such a large market has a promising start," said Wang Sicheng, a researcher at the National Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission. According to the media, “The National Energy Administration is currently planning 30 years and 50 years for the photovoltaic industry. By 2015, China’s cumulative installed capacity will reach 35GW (35 million kilowatts), and by 2020 it will reach 100GW (100 million kilowatts); by 2020 By 2050, the installed capacity of photovoltaics will increase significantly, with an average annual installed capacity of 30 GW. At that time, the excess production capacity will naturally disappear. At this time, the domestic photovoltaic capacity is just enough for the domestic market.”

According to Wang Sicheng’s calculations, the average annual national subsidies for photovoltaic power generation in the next 10 years will be 20 billion yuan before photovoltaic generation. That is, there are a total of 200 billion yuan in subsidy cakes to attract investors to compete in the domestic PV market. Therefore, whether private enterprises and state-owned enterprises can obtain equal subsidies and policy support will directly affect the enthusiasm and competitiveness of private enterprise investment.

In an interview with the reporter, Shen Hongwen, a researcher in the new energy industry of China Investment Advisors, believes that private enterprises and state-owned enterprises have large gaps in capital, technology, management, talent, credit policy and background, and it is difficult to obtain equal opportunities and rights for competition. Relevant instructions can help the development of the entire photovoltaic industry, but whether the civilian capital will be “discriminated” deserves special attention.

The National Energy Administration recently released the Interim Measures for the Administration of Distributed Generation, which encourages enterprises, specialized energy service companies, and various types of power users, including individuals, to invest in, build, and operate distributed power generation projects, and provide certain subsidies to users. Provide subsidies for construction funds or subsidies for power generation per eligible distributed generation. Distributed power generation that enjoys subsidies includes wind power generation, solar power generation, biomass power generation, geothermal power generation, and ocean energy power generation.

For distributed generation, the biggest problem is the difficulty in connecting. The "Measures" issued this time stipulate that for distributed generation, grid companies should provide efficient grid-connected services. It is understood that the grid companies are responsible for distributed power generation external grid access facilities and investment construction for the transformation of public grids caused by access, and provide convenient, timely, and efficient access to grid services for distributed generation, and investment in distributed generation facilities. The project unit (or self-employed, home user) signed a grid-connected agreement and purchase and sale of electricity contracts. It is reported that distributed generation is mainly self-produced, excess electricity is available on the Internet, and two-way metering power calculation or net electricity billing is adopted, and the peak-valley price factor may be considered. Grid companies should ensure that priority is given to the generation of surplus electricity generated by distributed generation and full purchases.

The "Measures" has systematically cleared the barriers to the integration and integration of distributed generation. Subsequently, as a major participant in distributed photovoltaic power generation, the grid company also introduced a new deal. Zhang Zhengling, a spokesperson for the State Grid Corporation of China, stated that the State Grid has already done a good job in advance and will provide technical services such as technical consultation and commissioning for commissioning of distributed power sources to the power grid.

China Southern Power Grid also recently issued the "Guiding Opinions on Further Supporting the Development of New Energy Sources such as Photovoltaic" and proposed the implementation of a hierarchical management of new energy projects in line with the network. For distributed projects connected to the power grid with a voltage level of 10 kilovolts and below, a green channel is established by the power grid companies. All business windows accept and apply online and a window provides external grid connection services.

The policy support for distributed photovoltaic power generation is unprecedented, and it is a major plus from the introduction of some related policies in financial policy.

Recently, Tan Zaixing, Director of the New Energy Assessment Department of the China Development Bank, revealed at the 2013 China PV Power Plant Seminar that the National Energy Administration and China Development Bank are planning to jointly issue documents to support distributed photovoltaic power generation financial services. The relevant documents will be introduced as early as the beginning of September. .

According to Tan Zaixing, financial support includes the roofs of industrial and commercial enterprises, universities and colleges, new energy demonstration cities, green demonstration counties, and national photovoltaic demonstration areas. The supporting targets range from large-scale photovoltaic power generation companies to enterprises, institutions, and natural persons.

The biggest highlight of this policy is to support natural persons to build distributed photovoltaics on their own roofs, and the state can provide certain loans. According to the current disclosure, the scale of borrowings can be as low as 50,000 yuan-500,000 yuan.

At the same time, relevant local detailed rules for distributed photovoltaic power generation are also being introduced intensively in some places. Household distributed photovoltaic power generation in some regions is also operating on the Internet. Industry insiders believe that financial support policies for natural persons will better stimulate residents' distribution. The development of photovoltaic power generation.

In this regard, Shen Hongwen believes that, on the one hand, detailed implementation rules, an independent regulatory system, and a severe punishment mechanism are the key elements for guaranteeing the effective implementation of relevant policies. At the national level, specific responsible persons should be identified for relevant issues and accepted by the auditing department. The supervision of related companies, media, and general public; on the other hand, the settlement of grid-connected policies and subsidy policies is not accomplished overnight, and solutions to related problems should also follow the principle of stability and stability.

According to Wang Sicheng, in addition to subsidies provided by the state, the state allows provinces (cities) to subsidize local photovoltaic distributed projects according to their own financial conditions. “The amount of subsidy at the provincial and municipal levels is totally unrestricted, and it is entirely set by the local provinces (municipalities).” But for photovoltaic companies, even today, no province or city has actually introduced a corresponding subsidy policy.

Shen Hongwen stated that problems such as the local government debt crisis and the money shortage in the banking system have been highlighted. Under the circumstances of major problems in local finance, the implementation of photovoltaic subsidy funds has become a very serious problem. It is difficult to achieve substantial results at the national level by forcing state-owned enterprises to “save for help” or issue local bonds or final choices. After all, the willingness of local governments to actively implement the subsidy policy is not strong enough.

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