Coal companies are planning a new round of price increase plan to be warned by the National Development and Reform Commission

“We just talked with Baosteel and Shougang about the supply of key contract coal in 2011, mainly related to the variety and quantity. The price has not yet been finalized, or it can be finalized at the end of December.” The first Chinese coal held in Xiamen on November 16 At the production and sales situation and the low-carbon economy forum, Zhang Xianfa, deputy director of Yanzhou Coal Transportation and Marketing Department, told reporters that the negotiation of key contract coals has started in 2011, but the price of coal needs to see Shenhua Group, China Coal Group, Tongmei Group and other industries. The bidding situation of leading coal enterprises.

According to the reporter's understanding, in 2011, the coal production and transportation needs of Shanxi Province have been started. The Shanxi Provincial Coal Department requires all coal enterprises, competent authorities and distribution enterprises to report the signing of coal source purchase and sales contracts before November 25.

The deadline for November 25 is similar to the 2009 deadline. At that time, after the end of coal-electricity negotiations in Shanxi, on December 15, the National Development and Reform Commission quickly issued the "Guiding Opinions on Improving the Needs for the Coordination of Coal Production and Transportation" (hereinafter referred to as "Guiding Opinions"), which marked the year of the country. The coal-electricity negotiation curtain was opened, and the coal, electricity and railway departments subsequently completed the production and transportation within 30 days.

Coal expert Huang Teng speculated that this year's National Development and Reform Commission's "Guidance Opinions" was released at the same time, or even earlier in early December. "But the demand for the increase is different, and the electricity companies are currently generally losing money. This year's negotiations may be more than Last year was even more difficult."

In fact, in the negotiations last year, central enterprises including local energy companies and local power giants hoped to cut 50 yuan per ton based on the contract coal price level in 2010, but eventually most of the electricity companies accepted the increase of more than 4%. The price of electricity coal contract.

“Prices need to refer to the bids of Shenhua Group and China Coal Group, and take into account the needs of the market.” Zhang Xianfa said that the key coal contract of Yanzhou Coal has basically been fulfilled this year, and the key coal contract has occupied the sales of Yanzhou Coal in 2010. More than 60% of the amount is estimated to be not too large in 2011.

For example, in Zhang Xianfa's key coal contract in 2010, the price of thermal coal supplied by Baozhou Coal to Baosteel was less than RMB 500/ton, and that of primary metallurgical coking coal was RMB 900/ton. In comparison, the Datongyou blended coal of Qinhuangdao 5500 Dakar has reached 785 yuan/ton, and the first-grade metallurgical coking coal has reached 1800 yuan/ton. The price difference between key contract coal and market coal is indeed too large.

However, Zhang also admitted that he has had many years of cooperation with key enterprises such as Baosteel, Shougang and the five major power groups. "The price this year will not rise too much."

At present, Shanxi coal enterprises have thrown a price increase of 40 yuan / ton, compared with last year's contract coal 9% increase, but still slightly lower than the expectations of securities institutions.

BOC International believes that maintaining the coal price is firm, expecting the domestic thermal coal benchmark price forecasts for this year and next year to increase by 9% and 14% respectively; CIC Securities believes that the increase in thermal coal will reach 11%.

For the contract price in the coming year, coal companies are confident that they will continue to rise. However, it is reported that the price department of the National Development and Reform Commission has made a "verbal warning" to coal enterprises at a recent meeting, reminding coal enterprises to pay attention to the scale of contract coal price negotiations.

Chen Liang, chief coal analyst of GF Securities, also believes that the relevant departments may not directly intervene in the market coal price, but may limit the increase in contract price.

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