According to the source, since the beginning of this year, due to the impact of rising freight, labor, and raw material prices, timber prices have skyrocketed. In terms of logs, whether it is a precious mahogany or a common wood variety, there has been a rise in varying degrees. Vietnam Huanghua pear began to be fired in the first half of the year. The average price of ordinary raw materials was reported to more than 300,000 yuan / ton at the beginning of the year, and it rose to 500,000 yuan / ton by May.
Timber prices stabilized in the fourth quarter
According to the statistics of China Furniture Net, in terms of ordinary board, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Fujian, Jiangxi, pine logs rose by 20 to 40 yuan / cubic, and Yunnan and Heilongjiang rose by 10 to 25 yuan / cubic. According to the single consumption of 1.35 to 1.45 tons / cubic meter, the rise in timber will cause the cost of the board to rise to 20-60 yuan / cubic meter.
In addition, the prices of domestic chemical raw materials for paraffin, formaldehyde, melamine and other major plate production also continued to rise. The ex-factory price of paraffin wax increased from 6800 yuan / ton in July to 8600 yuan / ton in November, an increase of 18%; formaldehyde products increased from 970 yuan / ton in September to 1100 tons in November, an increase of 13%; melamine increased from 7900 yuan in September / Tons rose to 8300 yuan / ton, an increase of 4%. Based on the increase of various factories in various regions, the increase in the cost of chemical raw materials will increase the production cost by 40-80 yuan / cubic.
Although the wood prices in the fourth quarter generally stabilized, the price increase in the first three quarters of integrated wood and the price increase of chemical raw materials in the second half of the year prevented companies in the furniture industry from digesting the cost of 80-150 yuan / cubic meter. The above-mentioned people believe that there is a general shortage of wood resources in China. In the first quarter of this year, severe droughts occurred in Yunnan, Guangxi, Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou and other five provinces, and forest fires occurred frequently. In Southwest China, nearly 78.83 million mu of forest land was reduced, which seriously affected The raw materials for domestic wood products such as wood-based panels are normally supplied. In the fourth quarter, our country also encountered a wide range of rain and snow weather, and the severe weather affected the log mining, stimulating a substantial increase in raw material prices.
Rising expectations are strong
On December 23, the National Development and Reform Commission issued a document to significantly reduce the timber output in the Xing'an Mountains forest area, which emphasized that the logging should be completely stopped in the Heilongjiang size Xing'an Mountains forest area where the recoverable resources were basically exhausted. Natural forest logging.
At present, China's dependence on imported timber has reached 30% -40%, of which 60% is dependent on Russia. The annual import of timber from Russia is about 30 million cubic meters. And Russia suffered a forest fire this year, and its negative impact on its wood supply will appear at the end of the year or early next year.
Therefore, the rise in timber prices is expected to be strong. In mid-November of this year, the factories of Daya Wood-based Panel have successively issued price increase notices, and furniture companies have collectively planned to increase prices after the year. Wang Linpeng, President of Actual Home, believes that the furniture industry that enjoys ten years of rapid growth will face a turning point in the fierce market competition. Factors such as rising raw materials, rising labor costs, and a worsening foreign trade environment will lead to the first round of reshuffle in the furniture industry.
According to Chen Guo, associate partner of the Greater China Region of IBM Global Business Services, despite the pressure on furniture companies, the market is still large. Based on 4.4 billion yuan of new real estate sales this year, new furniture accounts for 5-10% of real estate expenditures, or 200-400 billion yuan; plus replacement and new purchase demand, the total domestic furniture consumption should reach 8000 -900 billion yuan.
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