Meng Xiankai: The 12th Five-Year Plan for Solar Photovoltaic Planning

Under the background of Japan’s nuclear pain and overtime, the proportion of China’s new energy in the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” has been of concern in the industry. On the 31st, when the Deputy Director of the China Renewable Energy Society, Meng Xianjun, said that the increase in the proportion of solar PV is in the midst of being a guest, the planning review is currently just an assumption.

Meng Xianji stated that China's solar power generation target for 2020 is only 20 million kilowatts, and the 2015 target for the 5 million kilowatts is too small. He explained that Europe plans to have photovoltaic power generation capacity of 400 million kilowatts by 2020, accounting for 12% of the electricity demand. The United States plans to use solar power to account for 10% of total electricity consumption by 2020, and solar photovoltaic power generation equipment will also raise an indicator of 300 million kilowatts.

Meng Xianjun frankly stated that China's photovoltaic power generation accounts for a very small proportion of the total power consumption. Specifically, he said that the total power generation in 2010 was 4,000 billion kWh. According to the information released by the National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration of Transnational Electricity, a total of 40 million kWh of electricity was sent from January to September. Tens of millions. This is a very small piece of electricity with 4 trillion kWh.

He stressed that whether the "12th Five-Year Plan" photovoltaic target can be raised, and there is a certain correlation with the increase in renewable energy prices. "At the end of November 2009, the electricity surcharge has increased to 4 cents per kilowatt hour. In 2010, the estimated revenue is about 120 billion yuan, which is far from enough for the bottom line of the on-grid electricity tariff. If we add one cent per kilowatt hour, we will calculate it to 2020. The cumulative annual revenue can be 500 billion yuan. Of these, even if 400 billion will give wind power and biomass energy, photovoltaic power generation will still generate 100 billion yuan. This 100 billion yuan subsidy can probably support 100 million kilowatts of solar power," he said.

Whether the increase in electricity surcharges will have an impact on the lives of the people, Meng Xianqi calculated that if a family consumes one kilowatt-hour per month and the electricity charge per kilowatt is added as a penny, each household pays more for monthly renewable energy. Ten yuan.

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